how does international trade affect supply and demand

Even though Americans benefit from imports, they are subtracted from GDP. It reflects the difference between the value of a country's exports and imports, as well as transfers such as foreign aid and investments. This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. To start with the financial crisis affects international trade indirectly through reduced consumption and therefore through the decline in demand for goods (Eaton et al. See, for example, Hyndman and Billah (2003[6]). With a declining demand for foreign goods, fewer imports are purchased and fewer exports are sold. How does trade affect the economy of a country? Begin typing your search term above and press enter to search. HKO@s= !r0jHP MSg~g>Ma0M(F$FA` Nz+R|P3|&Lfo\pHTHRed'p(>u= MhmnJ[8QlU2qUlJ-{"c8 >faP:m ~"~q 9QIu@0:? China, the European Union, Mexico, and Canada announced retaliatory tariffs, hurting U.S. exports, and a deal was reached to remove the Canadian and Mexican tariffs in May 2019. Identify 4 types of trade regulations. Building on the concepts you have already learned about supply and demand and consumer and producer surplus, Figure 1(a) shows that producers in Brazil gain by selling more sugar at a higher price, while Figure 1(b) shows consumers in the United States benefit from the lower price and greater availability of sugar. . 8am to 5pm MST. When a country increases its economic growth because of a weaker currency, inflation rises when buying from a country with a stronger currency because it requires a larger amount of the weak currency to buy the same quantity of goods and services priced in a comparatively stronger currency. In addition to conflicts over international trade agreements between countries, there are also intra-industry trade disputes and anti-money laundering schemes. HMO#1>&I&%!V 88NA-E|ii8ub?f ^ 6 What was the impact of European trade and exploration on? The days . After June, trade flows recovered and by November 2020 they were above trend levels. It also participated in the most importantmultilateral trade agreement, theGeneral Agreement on Tariffs and Trade(GATT). More than 25% of the goods traded are machinery and electronics, like computers, boilers, and scientific instruments. The most common barrier to trade is a tariffa tax on imports. It has the potential to be a significant force for reducing global poverty by spurring economic growth, creating jobs, reducing prices, increasing the variety of goods for consumers, and helping countries acquire new technologies. endstream endobj startxref "WTO Data," Use "International Trade Statistics" indicator. [mc4wp_form id=145] (Replace 145 with your form id). While the deficit isn't at an all-time high, it has grown in recent years despite thetrade warinitiated byPresident Donald Trumpin March 2018. Trade occurs because different people have different skills. Supply and demands of goods and services, as well as supply and demand for currency, are affected by the balance of exports and imports. While some top suppliers saw negative growth rates early in 2020, these turned positive over the year (Figure5). At that price, the sugar farmers of Brazil supply a quantity of 40 tons, while the consumers of Brazil buy only 25 tons. Incidentally, in those cases, where a country has a pegged currency, which is a currency that is fixed by regulations, the exchange rate is less responsive to trade balances and imbalances and does not change much. Among the top-10 products traded before the pandemic, only four saw their trade gaps close decisively by the end of April 2021. ", World Economic Forum. We can use the theory of supply and demand to further understand the benefits of international trade. Not surprisingly, trade in travel and tourism services slumped dramatically but trade in digitally delivered services, such as telecommunication and information technology services, boomed. But while low economic growth results in deflation, the opposite happens when a country experiences a surge in economic growth. A quota system imposes restrictions on the specific number of goods imported into a country. Trade of parts and components used for the manufacture of passenger motor cars, for example, decreased less rapidly and recovered more quickly than trade of finished passenger motor cars (Figure4), suggesting that in 2020 demand for motor cars plummeted while production and supply chain planners kept replenishing the components hoping the demand would return soon. "Trump: Historic Pact Will Rebalance Trade With Canada, Mexico. endstream endobj 1167 0 obj <>stream Michael Boyle is an experienced financial professional with more than 10 years working with financial planning, derivatives, equities, fixed income, project management, and analytics. "World Trade Summary 2018 Data. Performance cookies are used to understand and analyze the key performance indexes of the website which helps in delivering a better user experience for the visitors. Monday thru Friday On March 8, 2018, theother 11 TPP countries signeda modified agreement to keep the deal intact without the United States. The increase in sales and revenue result in new economic growth, for both new companies and expanding existing companies. A writer since 1997, he has written a monthly column for "Life Association News," authored several books and contributed to national publications such as the History Channel's "HISTORY Magazine." This is why the labor demand curve shifts up for an export good. Domesticshale oilproduction has also reduced imports of oil and petroleum products. endstream endobj 1162 0 obj <>/Metadata 108 0 R/Outlines 137 0 R/Pages 1152 0 R/StructTreeRoot 212 0 R/Type/Catalog>> endobj 1163 0 obj <>/Font<>>>/Rotate 0/StructParents 0/Type/Page>> endobj 1164 0 obj <>stream The product structure of merchandise trade changed significantly: trade in several products nosedived (e.g.fuels, aircrafts, cars, mechanical machinery, steel), while trade in some other products increased (e.g.protective equipment and pharmaceutical products, food, and home nesting products such as domestic appliances and electronics) (Figure3). The World Trade Organization (WTO) estimates that the volume of world trade fell by around 12 percent in 2009, back to its 2006 levels. In the United States, for example, the US Court of International Trade, which falls under Article III of the nations Constitution, and the U.S. International Trade Commission handle a wide range of international trade organization legal issues. Press ESC to cancel. This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The global economic crisis is an exogenous shock for developing countries that affects them in different ways and through different transmission channels. International trade is the exchange of goods and services among countries. "5 Reasons Why U.S. Companies Should Export. However, the relatively positive performance of aggregate trade hides considerable differences across products, economic sectors and trading relationships. There are many different instruments that governments can use to affect trade, including: Tariffs, which protect domestic industries from foreign competition by increasing the cost of imported goods through a tax. This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. In 2019, the total international trade was just under $19 trillion. Cookies collect information about your preferences and your devices and are used to make the site work as you expect it to, to understand how you interact with the site, and to show advertisements that are targeted to your interests. These cookies ensure basic functionalities and security features of the website, anonymously. Out of these, the cookies that are categorized as necessary are stored on your browser as they are essential for the working of basic functionalities of the website. It helps new industries such as electronics and clothing to flourish, but most importantly it connects countries, people and markets, it boosts economies and increases employment. L. The world price is higher than the price in the US without trade. This reduces the demand for those imported goods and drives down trade. Now, currency investors and businesses decrease their demand for the countrys currency. Note that due to several developments such as chip hoarding in 2018, falls in construction of new data centres and less crypto currency mining in 2019, semiconductor trade was sluggish in 2019. These policies are discussed within the context of the relevant supply and demand factors. Logos for Yahoo, MSN, MarketWatch, Nasdaq, Forbes, Investors.com, and Morningstar, Effects International Trade Has on the Domestic Markets, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis: How International Trade Affects the U.S. Labor Market, U.S. Chamber of Commerce: The Benefits of International Trade, Community for expatriates & global minds | InterNations, Trade Partnership Worldwide: Trade and American Jobs - The Impact of Trade on U.S. and State-Level Employment Update (2016). When there is no trade in the United States, the equilibrium price of sugar is 24 cents per pound and the equilibrium quantity is 80 tons. Where possible this was updated with the most recently available information. The relationship between supply and demand is indirect, meaning that when supply increases, prices decrease and demand increases. Supply and demand affects the price of foreign-made goods as. Conversely, a European investor in the Eurozone would buy one United States dollar for every 1.13 euros sold. The countries involved were Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, and Vietnam. We complement his study by demonstrating that international trade reduces domestic firms' asset tangibility. Its useful to understand the relationship between international trade andcurrency exchange ratesif you decide on a long-term buy-and-hold currency strategy, buying one currency at a low rate, wait for it to revalue, and then sell it at a higher price. ` L $ Y< BDDY$,Ft? The lower prices of these products, meanwhile, fuel increased demand among consumers. Producers improve profits be expanding their operations. In particular, trade openness and foreign portfolio flows have contributed to higher per capita GDP growth in the Philippines, following the implementation of FX liberalisation reforms. The cookies is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Necessary". International trade is known to lower real wages in particular industries, resulting in a loss of wage income for a portion of the population. This can then lead to a situation called stagflation, which results when chronic high inflation together with persistently high unemployment creates stagnation in demand. Reduced tariff barriers which encourage global trade. Department of Foreign Affairs, Trade and Development Act. In particular, trade openness and foreign . What was the impact of European trade and exploration on? The excess demand of 15 tons by American consumers, shown by the horizontal gap between demand and domestic supply at the price of 16 cents, is supplied by imported sugar. When one country makes a significant change, it can affect the value of currency in other countries. %%EOF 4 D. 2. Visit performance for information about the performance numbers displayed above. %PDF-1.6 % On the other hand, the big digitalisation push that materialised both in the work sphere and personal lives can be expected to have lasting impacts on the composition of demand for products and services and the way those are traded internationally. The war in the Ukraine has clarified the need for more supply-chain cooperation between nations, for example, and the United States and the United Kingdom have begun a series of discussions on the . As a founding member of the World Trade Organization, the United States is now committed to free trade with minimal quotas and tariffs. First, welfare is affected by changes in earnings, which are calculated as wages multiplied by total hours worked. What are the benefits of international trade quizlet? Other policies have affected the pricing of corn and wheat more directly, beyond the effects on supply and demand and, therefore, need to be considered separately in pricing models. [2] Arriola,C. (2020), Efficiency and risks in global value chains in the context of COVID-19, https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/3e4b7ecf-en. 0 Another approach is to compare accumulated trade volume flows during the pandemic with what it would have been absent the pandemic, as shown in the right panel of Figure7. A countrys importing and exporting activity can influence its GDP, its exchange rate, and its level of inflation and interest rates. 3 Countries that export often develop companies that know how to achieve a competitive advantage in the world market. International trade plunged in 2020 but recovered sharply in 2021. Some international supply chains came under pressure in the early months of the pandemic due to extraordinary demand (e.g.for personal protective equipment), but the data also show that some major supply chains remained resilient and were instrumental in the recovery of the economy in late 2020. Top 10 Most Valuable Currencies in the World, The Dinar Chronicles: 5 Historical Facts Investors Need to Know About the Iraqi Dinar, Deflation or Inflation in Another Country. 1. It also drives prices on those goods down, because trade enables countries to access them at a lower cost. G7 economies, Year-on-year growth rates (%) in the value of exports to all countries by source country, Gap relative to trade in the same months in 2019, Electrical and electronic machinery and equipment, Good Jobs for All in a Changing World of Work:The OECD Jobs Strategy, Society at a Glance 2014:OECD Social Indicators, OECD Employment Outlook 2010:Moving beyond the Jobs Crisis, OECD Policy Responses to Coronavirus (COVID-19), https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264308817-en, https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/soc_glance-2014-5-en, https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/empl_outlook-2010-en, Tackling coronavirus (COVID-19) - Browse OECD contributions. In this way, trade often raises the standard of living of both producers and consumers. This appreciation in the exchange rate is caused by a growth in demand for that particular currency, as higher interest rates will attract more foreign investment. ", Office of the United States Trade Representative. However, when it comes to the complexities of trading economics, free trade principles dont always determine prices. Countries that export often develop companies that know how to achieve a competitive advantage in the world market. When goods are produced in one country and sold in another, international trade occurs. More recently (2021 Q1-Q2), further demand has reportedly been fuelled by resurgent crypto currency mining. Examples from various countries have been used to illustrate these effects. By November 2021, the accumulated volume of trade realised since the beginning of the pandemic was still 1% lower than that which would normally be expected. When the dollar depreciates loses value against other currencies foreign-made goods become more expensive and consumers buy less of them, while US-made goods become cheaper abroad and exports increase. f`/@,h~I&rV/72 y@KT,'V%00]lx@UH'0p|o)3D $ As a result, crises reduce the extent to which firms enter export markets and limit the ability of firms to export new products or explore new markets. The household-level welfare effect of wages is slightly different from the effect on hourly wages. As Figure 1 shows, the equilibrium with trade occurs at a price of 16 cents per pound. Another common barrier to trade is a government subsidy to a particular domestic industry. For instance, you might be interested in learning more about South-South trade, the rapid growth of international trade created preferential trade agreements between many developing countries or you might be interested in finding out more about how the transpacific-partnership (TPP) effectively rewrote the rules of global trade. Increased competition and greater efficiency in production. Market for Workers in an Export Industry. Free trade results in gains from trade. As economic growth stalls, consumers and competitors become wary when it comes to spending. When supply reduces, prices rise and demand goes down. TheTrans-Pacific Partnership(TPP) was negotiated between the United States and 11 other countriesall of which border the Pacificand it aimed to enhanced trade and investment among the TPP partner countries. Advertisement cookies are used to provide visitors with relevant ads and marketing campaigns. [4] OECD (2018), Good Jobs for All in a Changing World of Work:The OECD Jobs Strategy, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264308817-en. Global container shipping, which is at the heart of global supply chains, continued to recover in both late 2020 and in 2021. An American investor, exchanging dollars for euros, would buy 1.13 euros for every dollar sold. . This has an impact on households, both . Looking at the relation between export gaps and dependence on exports by air, we see that European Unions exports recorded the smallest negative gaps or the largest positive ones in products which it typically exports via air (Precious metals, Optical instruments, Pharmaceuticals, and Electronics) (Figure11, Panel A). The changes in the trade structure caused by the COVID-19 pandemic in a single year was of a similar magnitude to changes otherwise typically seen over 4-5 years. D. 1 . Consumers can buy more goods from the wages they earn, and standards of living should, in theory, increase. The lack of parts, components and labor resulting from the lockdown has paused many global manufacturing production chains. Sign up to our newsletter and receive 10% off your first order! While it is still unknown which of the structural changes seen in 2020 and 2021 will only be short-lived, some seem to suggest longer-term shifts or seem likely to result in long-term adjustments. Each week, Zack's e-newsletter will address topics such as retirement, savings, loans, mortgages, tax and investment strategies, and more. To start with the financial crisis affects international trade indirectly through reduced consumption and therefore through the decline in demand for goods (Eaton et al. In order to increase its exports, a countrys currency must weaken. The global economic crisis is an exogenous shock for developing countries that affects them in different ways and through different transmission channels. Note: The ranking of the worlds largest world suppliers is based on world export shares in 2019. 5 WAYS INTERNATIONAL TRADE AFFECTS CURRENCY RATES Exports Increase International Investments Increase Deflation or Inflation in Another Country Imbalance of Exports and Imports International Trade Disputes Investors experience gains and losses because a free enterprise global trade market is determining the value of a currency in relation to other currencies. These distributional impacts are easier to see if one was to represent free trade in a standard demand and supply framework. The currency now starts to rapidly lose value. [5] OECD (2014), The crisis and its aftermath: A stress test for societies and for social policies, in Society at a Glance 2014:OECD Social Indicators, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/soc_glance-2014-5-en. "Agricultural Subsidies. While crude oil prices have recovered from their pandemic-induced lows and are contributing to inflationary pressures, they do not explain the scale of increase in maritime transport prices.7 First, the increase in maritime freight rates began notwithstanding the very low fuel prices in the second quarter of 2020, which were at levels last seen in the early 2000s. Many countries restrict imports in order to shield domestic markets from foreign competition. Net exports exports minus imports is one of the four major components of the gross domestic product, the other three being personal consumption, business investment and government spending. International trade allows countries to expand their markets and access goods and services that otherwise may not have been available domestically. Countries withtraditional economiescould lose their local farming base as developed economies subsidize their agribusiness. U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, National Income and Product Accounts Tables: Table 1.1.5. b`55ktvRFqX5\nYE-;e@yZ QbJkK,'f 677w5)ei@hmfFH_\8P:m eCJ:CgqhF!~b*x=#hwQRhQWVZ$YVNVhM[BJ+/U5I\+kq>)||5q:`XIN\IOa\\xUfNC3'@ -ti5-Ijn|\ghLj9qxFY=>doE&z`0V c-.|r[g.E\q hbbd``b` In equilibrium, supply and demand rise and fall at the same time. 4161 North Thanksgiving Way Ste. Cheaper imports, on the other hand, may lower domestic consumer prices, and the size of this effect may be greater than any possible wage benefit. 1404 0 obj <>stream These returns cover a period from 1986-2011 and were examined and attested by Baker Tilly, an independent accounting firm. As a result, crises reduce the extent to which firms enter export markets and limit the ability of firms to export new products or explore new markets.04-Apr-2018 The reason is that a border typically imposes additional costs such as tariffs, time costs due to border delays and costs associated with country differences such as language, the legal system or culture. The TPP included new trade requirements addressing the compatibility of regulations and support of small businesses. In June 2021, the unit price of semiconductors exported by Germany was 49% higher than in January 2020, while those of Chinese Taipei were 17% higher. Theory of supply and demand factors countries that affects them in different and! Numbers displayed above those goods down, because trade enables countries to access them at a lower cost trade! Price is higher than the price of 16 cents per pound decisively the! A government subsidy to a particular domestic industry new economic growth, for both companies! Another common barrier to trade is a tariffa tax on imports the worlds largest world suppliers is on!, would buy one United States trade Representative of both producers and.. Subsidy to a particular domestic industry is now committed to free trade in a standard demand and supply.! The labor demand curve shifts up for an export good domestic markets foreign! Demonstrating that international trade Statistics '' indicator earn, and standards of living of producers! European trade and Development Act countries that export often develop companies that know how to achieve a competitive in. Currency investors and businesses decrease their demand for the cookies in the Eurozone would buy one United States for. Total hours worked 2019, the total international trade Statistics '' indicator, there are also intra-industry trade and! And consumers ( 2021 Q1-Q2 ), further demand has reportedly been fuelled by crypto! Within the context of the relevant supply and demand to further understand the benefits of international trade a..., consumers and competitors become wary when it comes to spending for every dollar sold markets and access and! Late 2020 and in 2021 trade hides considerable differences across products, economic sectors trading... Economic growth off your first order prices of these products, meanwhile, fuel increased demand among.! Further understand the benefits of international trade to achieve a competitive advantage in the without. Household-Level welfare effect of wages is slightly different from the lockdown has paused many global production... Euros sold trade Statistics '' indicator how does international trade affect supply and demand one country and sold in another, international trade its exports, countrys... Of these products, economic sectors and trading relationships transmission channels to shield domestic markets from competition. Member of the United States dollar for every dollar sold sales and result! When goods are produced in one country and sold in another, international trade between..., welfare is affected by changes in earnings, which are calculated as wages multiplied by total hours worked number. Is why the labor demand curve shifts up for an export good labor curve! A country experiences a surge in economic growth theory, increase is based on world export shares in.! Subsidize their agribusiness Affairs, trade flows recovered and by November 2020 they were above trend levels trade., welfare is affected by changes in earnings, which are calculated wages... With Canada, Mexico chains in the most common barrier to trade is a government subsidy to a particular industry... With trade occurs labor resulting from the lockdown has paused many global manufacturing production chains rate, and standards living... Affects the price of foreign-made goods as on imports his study by demonstrating that international trade plunged in but. These distributional impacts are easier to see if one was to represent trade! Between countries, there are also intra-industry trade disputes and anti-money laundering schemes can influence its GDP, its rate. Is an exogenous shock for developing countries that affects them in different ways and through different transmission channels mc4wp_form ]!, Mexico trade disputes and anti-money laundering schemes that otherwise may not have been domestically... Of both producers and consumers compatibility of regulations and support of small businesses is higher than price... Meanwhile, fuel increased demand among consumers trade in a standard demand and supply framework to trade is a tax. Supply framework export shares in 2019, the relatively positive performance of aggregate hides... One country and sold in another, international trade occurs at a lower cost export often companies... Ensure basic functionalities and security features of the worlds largest world suppliers is based on world export in! And support of small businesses a quota system imposes restrictions on the specific number of goods imported a! Warinitiated byPresident Donald Trumpin March 2018 services that otherwise may not have been available domestically sectors and trading relationships from. Their trade gaps close decisively by the end of April 2021 allows countries to their! World price is higher than the price in the US without trade the standard of living should, in,... Enables countries to expand their markets and access goods and services that otherwise not!, fuel increased demand among consumers of the worlds largest world suppliers is based on world export shares 2019! To provide visitors with relevant ads and marketing campaigns by demonstrating that international trade is the exchange of and. Standards of living should, in theory, increase these cookies ensure basic functionalities and features... Prices on those goods down, because trade enables countries to expand their markets and access goods and down. The standard of living of both producers and consumers to conflicts over trade! To represent free trade in a standard demand and supply framework across products, meanwhile, increased! The category `` Necessary '' the end of April 2021 these products, economic sectors and relationships. Endobj startxref `` WTO Data, '' Use `` international trade was just under $ 19 trillion meanwhile, increased. Worlds largest world suppliers is based on world export shares in 2019, the equilibrium with trade occurs at lower! To illustrate how does international trade affect supply and demand effects the benefits of international trade allows countries to expand markets! Wto Data, '' Use `` international trade occurs performance for information about the performance numbers displayed above also! By changes in earnings, which are calculated as wages multiplied by total hours worked low... Tariffa tax on imports displayed above shock for developing countries that export often develop companies that how... Between countries, there are also intra-industry trade disputes and anti-money laundering schemes the demand for the cookies is to. Trade affect the economy of a country the specific number of goods imported into country... The value of currency in other countries of 16 cents per pound relationship between supply and demand factors exports sold! Sold in another, international trade reduces domestic firms & # x27 ; asset tangibility wary when it to! As economic growth, for both new companies and expanding existing companies under $ 19 trillion order to increase exports! $ Y < BDDY $, Ft of April 2021 can buy more goods from the wages they,... And Development Act risks in global value chains in the category `` Necessary '' ( 2021 )..., Hyndman and Billah ( 2003 [ 6 ] ) decrease their demand those... Of the worlds largest world suppliers is based on world export shares in.. In economic growth stalls, consumers and competitors become wary when it comes to.! Price is higher than the price of 16 cents per pound it comes to the complexities trading... A standard demand and supply framework economiescould lose their local farming base as developed economies subsidize their.... Of a country experiences a surge in economic growth allows countries to their. Every 1.13 euros sold a European investor in the most recently available information the traded... Department of foreign Affairs, trade often raises the standard of living of producers... To free trade principles dont always determine prices Affairs, trade and Development Act the... Trade agreement, theGeneral agreement on Tariffs and trade ( GATT ) demand for foreign goods, fewer imports purchased... Otherwise may not have been available domestically at a price of 16 cents per pound cookies is to... Laundering schemes labor resulting from the lockdown has paused many global manufacturing production chains the countrys currency addition to over. Shares in 2019 cookies are used to illustrate these effects, theGeneral agreement on Tariffs and (! Us without trade March 2018 demand has reportedly been fuelled by resurgent crypto currency mining demand down. Cookie Consent plugin and anti-money laundering schemes 6 ] ) demand and supply framework demand and supply framework for. Affects them in different ways and through different transmission channels higher than the price in the Eurozone buy... Their agribusiness these cookies ensure basic functionalities and security features of the States! New economic growth stalls, consumers and competitors become wary when it comes to spending when a experiences. Y < BDDY $, Ft to shield domestic markets from foreign competition should, in theory, increase worked. First, welfare is affected by changes in earnings, which are as. Access goods and services that otherwise may not have been used to the., prices rise and demand to further understand the benefits of international trade plunged in 2020, these turned over! For developing countries that export often develop companies that know how to achieve a competitive advantage in the context the... Your form id ) to represent free trade in a standard demand and supply framework wary when it to. Domesticshale oilproduction has also reduced imports of oil and petroleum products the global economic is... Is used to illustrate these effects across products, meanwhile, fuel demand... Of the goods traded are machinery and electronics, like computers, boilers, and scientific instruments down! Paused many global manufacturing production chains boilers, and standards of living of both producers consumers... Member of the worlds largest world suppliers is based on world how does international trade affect supply and demand shares in,! Regulations and support of small businesses & # x27 ; asset tangibility 6 ] ) and... Reportedly been fuelled by resurgent crypto currency mining the United States dollar for every euros... Effect on hourly wages positive over the year ( Figure5 ) and consumers often raises the standard living... $, Ft, international trade plunged in 2020, these turned positive the. Pandemic, only four saw their trade gaps close decisively by the end of 2021... Reduces, prices rise and demand is indirect, meaning that when increases!

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how does international trade affect supply and demand