The average sale price per square foot in Bellingham is $366, up 3.2% since last year. Sales will slowly start recovering as rates fall from their peak, but theyll still post year-over-year declines most of the year. While others believe that due to the higher interest rates, sellers will lower their prices to current levels. Economic indicators include GDP, employment ratio, manufacturing activity, the prices of goods, etc. Also, the supply-demand curve indicates that prices wont crash shortly. As it becomes harder to come by, those areas are likely to become more concentrated with affluent, all-cash buyers. This will roughly average the 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates at 8.50 and 7.70, respectively. As a result, supply increases, and prices drop. 2 Remember, median means half of all homes sold for more than that and half sold for less. Still, higher housing costs have taken a toll on home shoppers as mortgage applications are at their lowest level in over 25 years, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). A key difference now compared to the last housing crisis is that many homeowners, and even those struggling to make payments, have had a large boost to their home values in recent years. Here are a few things prospective buyers and sellers should know about the 2022 housing market forecast: Competition will ease as new housing supply hits the market Rising mortgage rates. In Washington, housing growth has remained a strong predictor of population growth. Home staging means preparing your home for sale with or without the help of a professional home stager. The 10-year ARM (adjustable rate mortgage) was at 4.3%. When comparing the data to 1971, the present mortgage rate is moving towards a long-term average of 8% 30-year mortgage rates. For the Americans moving for affordability, places with no state income taxes, like Florida, Texas and Tennessee, will be attractive. Understanding and dealing with sellers disclosure in Washington can be intimidating for home sellers. Construction has slowed for much of the pandemic, owing to labor shortages and supply-chain issues that have made certain materials difficult to obtain. Top Five Factors That Could Cause a 2023 Housing Market Crash. More U.S. cities will look to Minneapolis, which in 2019 became the first major city to eliminate single-family-only zoning, for inspiration in keeping rental and home prices under control. That could happen if inflation consistently slows faster than expected, allowing the Fed to slow its pace of rate hikes and leading to quick mortgage-rate drops. We do not recommend listing with a full-service Washington real estate agents as they charge hefty commissions. The addition of 110,000 jobs over the past 12 months represents an impressive increase of 4.9%. Yes! Net migration accounted for 86% of the states population growth. Some experts predict that due to low inventory, home prices wont drop in 2023. The number of homes sold fell 23.6% and the number of homes for sale rose 18.2% as compared to last year. In a slow market, inventory is usually high, and home prices keep decreasing due to lower demand. There were 53 homes sold in December this year, down from 99 last year. Home prices are directly affected by demand, which, according to real estate experts, isn't going away anytime soon. As a result, no foreclosure crisis is on the horizon. Americans with FEMA flood insuranceespecially those in Florida, Mississippi and Texasare also starting to see their flood insurance premiums, after the government agency overhauled its pricing. But declines in home prices and sales will prop up buyers agent commissions next year. The Forbes Advisor editorial team is independent and objective. In areas like Clark County, the demand for housing will still exceed the supply, causing prices to continue to rise. With less disposable income, more layoffs, and few income opportunities, homebuyers resist buying a house. The housing market refers to properties bought and sold directly to buyers or through real estate brokers. The issue is primarily an affordability crisis. That could help hold up rental prices in those parts of the country. The real estate appreciation rate in Washington in the latest quarter (2021 Q4 2022 Q1) was 4.45%. It is worth noting, however, that today's price doesn't tell the whole story. In December 2022, Puyallup home prices were down 3.7% compared to last year, selling for a median price of $525K. Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Houzeo Corp., its affiliates, or its employees. In August 2022, lenders repossessed 3,938 properties in the United States through completed foreclosures, also known as real estate owned, or REO. Washington State Housing Market Forecast 2022 & 2023 December 6, 2022 by Marco Santarelli According to Redfin, Washington home prices were up 4.3% year-over-year in August. 2 Excellent Job Opportunities & Low Unemployment Rate. However, you shouldnt buy a home just because its the cheapest. This could push commissions up because the agents who remain will likely be able to charge higher percentages. Preapproval Mortgage:Evaluate the approximate closing costs for buyers in your area. Experts predict that this gradual increase will keep up until the end of the year. Most analysts predict that home prices will grow in the majority of the housing markets next year albeit slightly. Know how to get the best deal while selling a house in Washington. Historic appreciation rates have simultaneously priced many buyers out of the market and forced local real estate investors to reevaluate their own exit strategies. People waiving all their contingencies and bidding the price of the home up by $50-200K. Selling FSBO in Washington is more popular and high-tech than ever. Some places have already followed Minneapolis example. The inventory of homes for sale in Pierce County, WA between November 2022 and December 2022 decreased by 14.2%. As such, our predictions for those key housing metrics lead with the most likely scenario, followed by other possible outcomes that could happen if, for instance, a better-than-expected inflation report results in an earlier- or bigger-than-expected mortgage-rate drop. Supply surges when builders continue to build, irrespective of the reduced demand for houses. Earlier this year, Minneapolis became the first metro area to see rents decline. There are a lot more regulations and restrictions in the mortgage market that make it a lot stronger, and less volatile and less risky, than it was in the market after 2008, she says. And with mortgage rates stabilizing near 6%, we expect the housing market to turn around in 2023. . We are starting to see home inspections become the norm again. Even though home prices remain high year-over-year (YOY), theyre not as eye-popping as they were in early 2022. According to ATTOM, Illinois had the highest foreclosure rate in August, with one foreclosure filing for every 1,926 housing units. Tax credits, deductions, and subsidiaries can impact the demand for real estate. 2. A new year is the perfect time to prognosticate real estate matters for 2023. However, they are not rising as quickly as they once did, and Washington real estate agents predict that prices will level off or rise slightly this year. Delaware was next, with one out of every 2,387 homes in some stage of foreclosure. Vancouver home prices remain unaffordable for most residents. Here's Zillow's forecast for some of the metro areas in Washington. Housing market predictions for 2023: Capital Economic predicts mortgage rates are set to rise to 6.5% heading into 2023. But In the long run, the sellers market will continue. We expect the median U.S. home-sale price to drop by roughly 4%the first annual drop since 2012to $368,000 in 2023. Metros in the South and Midwest are the least likely to see price declines over the next year. For a borrower, multiple types of mortgages are available such as adjustable rate mortgages (ARM), conventional loans, fixed-rate mortgages, and government-sponsored. The interest rates have risen and as a result, buyers are not rushing to purchase homes. King County housing predictions suggest that home prices will continue to rise through EOY 2022. This indicates that the rate of existing home sales has slowed to its lowest level in 10 years. Get the list of best for sale by owner homes in your area. This is up by 40,500 from last year. Over the last 10 years, Washingtons tech sector employment has grown by nearly 34%. A majority of homeowners own significant equity in their homes. It makes it easy to determine what types of real estate properties are in demand. Look up here. Also, The median price of an existing home sold increased to $384,800, an 8.4% increase from a year ago. Housing bubble bursts for a variety of reasons. There were. Around 16% of Americans have bad credit. Back in 2007, there were multiple cases of liar loans did exist. Now that the housing market Washington is threatened by a similar instance of rising mortgage rates and the possibility of a recession, buyers and homeowners are asking a familiar question: when will thehousing market crash? It was the 129th consecutive month of YOY price increasesa record streakeven though home prices have fallen from their record high of $413,800 in June. The median home value in the Spokane real estate market is $431,272. Laguna Niguel, CA 92677, Copyright 2018 Norada Real Estate Investments, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WASTHPI#, https://www.neighborhoodscout.com/wa/real-estate, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ACTLISCOUWA#, https://www.redfin.com/city/13296/NE/Washington/housing-market, https://www.statista.com/statistics/306793/washington-gdp-growth/, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Washington_(state), http://choosewashingtonstate.com/why-washington/our-key-sectors/ict/, https://ofm.wa.gov/about/news/2022/06/washington-tops-78-million-residents-2022, Absorption Rate and Months of Inventory in Real Estate. Today, Lenders place high standards on borrowers, and most who get mortgages have excellent credit. Surged mortgage rates and plunged home sales have worried buyers and sellers about the housing market trend in 2023. Significant amounts of trade with Asia pass through the ports of Puget Sound. Multifamily construction is at a 50-year high, which means hundreds of thousands of new rental units will be available next year. The Total number of properties sold during the period. A real estate agent or broker was used by 86% of buyers to purchase their homes. This resource, updated periodically, will collate and examine the economic levers pushing and pulling Perth's housing market. How to Buy a House in Washington:Own the Home Meant for You! Prices will fall, but not to the extent homeowners experienced during the Great Recession. Meanwhile, the rental shortage continued to produce significant challenges for many Western Australians. Fewer iBuyers in the marketRedfin recently announced plans to shutter its iBuying businessis also a factor in slowing activity. Plus, some workers, especially 20-somethings starting their careers, will choose to remain near their office as some employers start expecting in-person work, at least part of the time. 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